I am looking for a way to short this market and when I "look for something" I bite too soon. My initial take on the I1 levelling off was correct. I don't want to add to short unless:
a) Tomorrow afternoon
or
b) Break of SPX 15-minute, 54-unit M/AIt was a coin-toss the levelling of the I1 but it still increases through tomorrow. Hopefully this period will be but a choppy, topping process and I can get in at a good price. The I1 on 5/14 tomorrow is 3.87 and the I1 on top day 5/24 is 4.05. So the magnitude is only .18.
Spot silver has rallied past 19.70 to 19.78. The reason for the trade was the return to long-term tops in gold and silver last December. The silver forward sentiment gauge does not top until the close today, so shorting at the old highs was premature.
Steve
ReplyDeleteWhere would the SPX 15-minute,54-unit M/A be? My guess would be 1148.
Jack
ReplyDeleteCurrently at 1166.61 less .56% brings it to 1160.