I exited half of the TLT this morning, bringing bonds down to 10% capital. Here is why:
I probably should have reduced to 0%, but I want a runaway stock decline exposure into 5/10.
Crude oil and silver are collapsing. Exited short silver this morning. Crude shows down to $77 at least.
The markets are predicting global economic slowdown. Crude peaked recently at $87 and the talking heads were talking $100 oil. Even though my crude forward sentiment gauge is increasing from here, the markets will be dragging oil down. So declining I1 periods will also correspond with declining crude.
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