Monday, January 31, 2011

1/31 Daily Commentary

The fear factor was removed from the markets today.  I sold 2% SSO at 50.16 when SP futures hit their 30-minute M/A to bring me down to 2%. 
I count 3 down in SPX and DJI.  DJI has not broken critical support and I1 is up.  If DJI breaks 11,793 then we will have a new ballgame, but until then I have to play the bull side.

I bought 1% DX futures at 77.89 but the dollar is not behaving like it's ready to rally.  I sold this position at 77.87.  Instead I'll use M/A violation to enter long.  The green line +.48%.

I'm still holding 2% EUO short Euro.
 

2 comments:

  1. Steve -
    I was graphing I1 in Excel and wanted to check if I'm using the right terms. In the 1/19 Daily Commentary you have a list of numbers, including:
    1/28/11 - 26.78996
    1/31/11 - 27.08342
    Are these called 'raw I1' values? In 'Intro and Concepts' it looks like an I1 of 5 is pretty high, so should we be looking at deltas between these raw I1's? And would that make today's I1 value the difference between them (.29346)?
    Thanks! Mark

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  2. I divide the raw by 10 to calibrate I1.

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