Friday, April 9, 2010

4/9 pre-open

June futures have rounded out their 3-wave upward move.  Handing over to cash with the stop set above Tuesday's high.  However, opening volatility expands it slightly to SPX 1193.10.  The 5-wave decline yesterday is what I am hanging my hat on.  Does this mean that SPX cannot make a slightly greater high than yesterday?  Technically, no, but it means that yesterday's low will be violated.

The silver trade set-up is a 90-minute M/A of May futures.  The trade goes off on an decline .7% below it's
 rapidly ascending 90-minute, 110-unit M/A. Currently 17.91 - .7% = 17.78. I expect the silver to accelerate after April 22, so using the more rigorous criteria of a longer-term M/A break may make sense to traders desiring more than a 3-4 day trade.



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