6% short SP futures, 2% SDS, 4%QID. The first 2 days of the I1 down move were rally days 7/23 and 7/26. The overnight session was up as well, completing a diagonal triangle. In a down I1, especially one bottoming < 32.50 I must be short. I follow the I1 like a dog. Getting stopped out on the 23rd was not all that big of a hit. I got back in starting Sunday evening and more Monday morning. Last night is when the diagonal triangle became evident. I'm trying to relate the events during this I1 down period in the face of a stock market rally. Nobody said it was easy, but we are on the gravy train now.
Here is the I1:
20100720 36.27178
20100721 36.41742
20100722 36.30637
20100723 34.96335
20100726 33.57488
20100727 32.35731
20100728 31.96437
20100729 31.80197
20100730 31.94768
20100802 33.12613
20100803 34.77583
20100804 36.69522
20100805 38.74793
20100806 40.58552
20100809 42.17691
20100810 43.32631
20100811 44.65306
20100812 45.70546
20100813 46.2804
20100816 45.8179
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Steve
ReplyDeletegiven this rally strength in the face of declining I1, does it portend strength in the end of July to mid Aug I1 rally? Does it bring my double top scenario that I posted a while back into play?
Thanks
Charles
Hi Charles,
ReplyDeleteYes, if we don't crack below 10,000 by the close 7/29 I'll be buying it to exceed 10,594 but not all the way to double-top the April highs.