Currently 4% SDS, bought at 31.47 and 2% DZZ bought at 10.34.
The peak for I1 tomorrow is 3.249. This is less than the 3.25 threshold which would have forced me to be flat stocks through this rally. See Intro and Concepts for the I1 rule set. In the past whenever an I1 rally peaks below 3.25 the stock market in the majority of cases continued to decline even though I1 was rising. This peak is so close to the threshold that perhaps the rule does not apply in this particular case but I do not want to miss out on this next downmove. I have held only minimal shorts for brief periods since DJI crossed 10,210 on the way up, the 5-minute, 380-unit critical resistance, which was 1 day prior to the I1 bottom. I covered shorts well before this point as well.
I have updated the Trade History to reflect activity up to the latest trade.
Here is the I1 going through November.
20100901 25.28408
20100902 25.06659
20100903 25.51281
20100906 26.69725
20100907 27.91625
20100908 29.58433
20100909 31.06375
20100910 32.49334
20100913 32.15619
20100914 31.46442
20100915 29.76997
20100916 27.14117
20100917 24.71507
20100920 22.96243
20100921 22.29074
20100922 21.8606
20100923 21.19671
20100924 21.17547
20100927 20.82228
20100928 20.55654
20100929 19.79494
20100930 18.6971
20101001 19.4164
20101004 19.8343
20101005 20.45848
20101006 20.9075
20101007 21.40699
20101008 21.63835
20101011 19.81698
20101012 17.54623
20101013 13.80057
20101014 9.866532
20101015 6.519855
20101018 3.461369
20101019 .8808112
20101020 -1.812707
20101021 -3.515924
20101022 -5.542804
20101025 -5.851898
20101026 -6.125878
20101027 -6.012274
20101028 -4.553634
20101029 -2.946923
20101101 -1.03009
20101102 .8301654
20101103 2.709498
20101104 4.524597
20101105 5.372238
20101108 5.060921
20101109 4.439075
20101110 2.793315
20101111 .785111
20101112 -.7620888
20101115 -1.673297
20101116 -1.97909
20101117 -2.243465
20101118 -2.670697
20101119 -1.940198
20101122 -.4583645
20101123 .8304453
20101124 2.523243
20101125 4.118955
20101126 5.96884
20101129 8.300858
20101130 9.911625
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