Monday, June 21, 2010

6/21 pre-open

I will short 2% SDS in ARCA if SP futures hit 1127.   I count wave (v) of C of 2 complete at the 1130 SP futures high.  The yuan story is a perfect cover for a top.

I will short another 5-10% later in the day.

2 comments:

  1. Hello Steve, been trying to get my head around the forward wave count in relation to I1, and curious regarding your projections. In summary, minor Wave 1 from late-April to June 8, minor Wave 2 from June 8 to June 21 (TBD)?, and Wave 3 from June 21 to July 5 (TBD)? Wave 4 starting July 6-mid August? My question is typically Wave 3 are the longest and most "damaging" leg, so is it possible for this to be only 2 weeks long? Interested in your thoughts. Thanks.

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  2. DJD,
    I think the support at the Feb/May lows will stop the initial decline into 7/5. Then the market will "buy" time until the August high, either with a sharp rally ending below today's high or even a triangle. However, I'll expect the high anytime after 8/1. I'll post the expectations in more detail tonight.
    Thanks for the post.

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